I don't post too often, however I study on a variety of sites and constantly read posts.
I had a little time today, so I thought I'd share my feelings on tomorrow's Packers/Redskins game. I live in DC and have for 32 years. I also have been a Redskins fan my entire life and listen to the sportstalk shows, etc...
So, here's my take:
The Skins offense is bad...very bad. The loss of Jon Jansen at the beginning of the season was much more of a problem than anyone originally thought. He was responsible for Brunell's blind side...he was also going to be used as Gibbs' primary pull blocker on his counter-trey plays. Samuels is good, but can't do it alone and to be honest, there's not much help for him on the rest of the line. Portis is good and runs hard, but holes need to be there for him and this offensive line just isn't opening them.
Now to Brunell...I honestly believe he has a lost a couple of steps. He used to be a threat to get out of the pocket and run...this would keep opposing linebackers honest, in that they would have to keep an eye on him. Since he's still a little banged up from week 3, linebackers are either blitzing or dropping back into coverage and not worried about Brunell taking off and hurting them.
Now to their wide outs...Coles is also decent, however he dislocated his finger in the Dallas game and hasn't quite been the same since. Gardner is dangerous, but if Brunell doesn't hit him early, he loses focus and disappears.
So...that's the Skins offense....now, throw in that Grady Jackson will be back from Green Bay and the middle of the line will be controlled by Jackson; meaning the Skins will be forced to run outside or throw. This spells problems for Washington, as they don't have the O-line talent to get out and lead a sweep play for Portis. ---Huge advantage to GB!
Now, let's look at the Skins #1 ranked Defense. This is a good bunch, that has performed very well, especially for being dessimated by injuries. They thought they were getting Lavar back this week, but he slipped in practice after begging the doctors to let him get back on the practice field. He reinjured his surgically repaired knee is will miss this game. Sean Taylor, who was just starting to understand the Pro Game decides on Wednesday night that he'll go to a party, get drunk and drive home...not so smart...he won't play. Their other saftey Matt Bowen was lost a couple of weeks ago for the season with a torn ACL. On the corners, Shawn Springs has been good and Fred Smoot has been great, however Smoot partially dislocated his shoulder two weeks ago and will play, but isn't going to be 100%.
Brett Favre should be able to find Walker and Driver, but more importantly, I look for several short passes to Ahman Green and Bubba Franks. This is where the Skins are usually hurt...they overpursue and misdirections, screens and short dumps over the middle end up killing them.
I'm sorry for the long post, however this is about as honest as I can get...and while I hate betting against my beloved Skins, I just think this is a terrible spot for them, against a Green Bay team that really isn't as bad as the whipping that Tennessee laid on them a couple of weeks back.
My play is GB -1 1/2 for $500 (biggest play of the year so far)
My other leans for Sunday are:
Philly -7 1/2 over Baltimore for $250 -- No Jamal, no Todd Heap and more importantly, no Johnathan Ogden. Boller just isn't good enough to win this game or even keep it close. Baltimore's D is good, but McNabb and TO are hitting on all cylinders. The loss of Westbrook will be a factor, but I trust Dorsey Levens can do an adequate job. I see Philly winning this one by DD.
San Diego -6 over Oakland for $250 -- I've watched this Oakland team...they're terrible, on both sides of the ball. SD is playing with a lot of confidence and Brees and Tomlinson, at home, should have no problem winning this game by DD.
I'd love to hear what others think about my plays and I wish everyone here good luck!!
J
I had a little time today, so I thought I'd share my feelings on tomorrow's Packers/Redskins game. I live in DC and have for 32 years. I also have been a Redskins fan my entire life and listen to the sportstalk shows, etc...
So, here's my take:
The Skins offense is bad...very bad. The loss of Jon Jansen at the beginning of the season was much more of a problem than anyone originally thought. He was responsible for Brunell's blind side...he was also going to be used as Gibbs' primary pull blocker on his counter-trey plays. Samuels is good, but can't do it alone and to be honest, there's not much help for him on the rest of the line. Portis is good and runs hard, but holes need to be there for him and this offensive line just isn't opening them.
Now to Brunell...I honestly believe he has a lost a couple of steps. He used to be a threat to get out of the pocket and run...this would keep opposing linebackers honest, in that they would have to keep an eye on him. Since he's still a little banged up from week 3, linebackers are either blitzing or dropping back into coverage and not worried about Brunell taking off and hurting them.
Now to their wide outs...Coles is also decent, however he dislocated his finger in the Dallas game and hasn't quite been the same since. Gardner is dangerous, but if Brunell doesn't hit him early, he loses focus and disappears.
So...that's the Skins offense....now, throw in that Grady Jackson will be back from Green Bay and the middle of the line will be controlled by Jackson; meaning the Skins will be forced to run outside or throw. This spells problems for Washington, as they don't have the O-line talent to get out and lead a sweep play for Portis. ---Huge advantage to GB!
Now, let's look at the Skins #1 ranked Defense. This is a good bunch, that has performed very well, especially for being dessimated by injuries. They thought they were getting Lavar back this week, but he slipped in practice after begging the doctors to let him get back on the practice field. He reinjured his surgically repaired knee is will miss this game. Sean Taylor, who was just starting to understand the Pro Game decides on Wednesday night that he'll go to a party, get drunk and drive home...not so smart...he won't play. Their other saftey Matt Bowen was lost a couple of weeks ago for the season with a torn ACL. On the corners, Shawn Springs has been good and Fred Smoot has been great, however Smoot partially dislocated his shoulder two weeks ago and will play, but isn't going to be 100%.
Brett Favre should be able to find Walker and Driver, but more importantly, I look for several short passes to Ahman Green and Bubba Franks. This is where the Skins are usually hurt...they overpursue and misdirections, screens and short dumps over the middle end up killing them.
I'm sorry for the long post, however this is about as honest as I can get...and while I hate betting against my beloved Skins, I just think this is a terrible spot for them, against a Green Bay team that really isn't as bad as the whipping that Tennessee laid on them a couple of weeks back.
My play is GB -1 1/2 for $500 (biggest play of the year so far)
My other leans for Sunday are:
Philly -7 1/2 over Baltimore for $250 -- No Jamal, no Todd Heap and more importantly, no Johnathan Ogden. Boller just isn't good enough to win this game or even keep it close. Baltimore's D is good, but McNabb and TO are hitting on all cylinders. The loss of Westbrook will be a factor, but I trust Dorsey Levens can do an adequate job. I see Philly winning this one by DD.
San Diego -6 over Oakland for $250 -- I've watched this Oakland team...they're terrible, on both sides of the ball. SD is playing with a lot of confidence and Brees and Tomlinson, at home, should have no problem winning this game by DD.
I'd love to hear what others think about my plays and I wish everyone here good luck!!
J
